HUMAN MIGRATION

The world could see up to

1 BILLION climate migrants

In October 2014, the US Department of Defense declared that climate change “poses immediate risks to US national security” and “will intensify the challenges of global instability, hunger, poverty, and conflict (among other impacts).

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has concluded that extreme weather and other climate-related hazards pose a threat to global food stocks and human security.

The migration of South Americans toward the United States caused a great deal of concern in this country.

(2014) Climate change poses “immediate risks” to national security and will have broad and costly impacts on the way the U.S. military carries out its missions, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel says. In a statement, Hagel called global warming a “threat multiplier,” saying rising seas and increasing numbers of severe weather events could exacerbate the dangers posed by threats ranging from infectious disease to terrorism. Hagel was in Peru on Monday for the Conference of Defense Ministers of the Americas, where he planned to discuss a Defense Department report titled “2014 Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap.”

By 2050, unmitigated climate change has the potential to push more than 140 million people – or almost three percent of the global population – from just three regions of the world to move from their homes, exacerbating an already growing migration crisis.

These mass migrations anticipated in Sub-Saharan African, Latin America, and South Asia could intensify and affect other drivers of conflict.

“…the scope and scale of human migration due to climate change will test the limits of national and global governance as well as international cooperation.” Brookings Blum Roundtable on Global Poverty

Between 2010 and 2011, adverse weather wiped out crops worldwide – Canada, the US, China, Australia, Russia, and Ukraine were among the countries hit with a variety of climate disasters, ranging from extreme rainfall to droughts and fires.

Additional reading:

Suzanne Goldenberg, “Climate change a threat to security, food and humankind – IPCC report,” The Guardian, March 31, 2014.

NBC News, “Pentagon: Climate Change Poses ‘Immediate Risks’ to National Security”, last updated October 13, 2014.

Secretary Chuck Hagel, “The Department of Defense Must Plan for the National Security Implications of Climate Change,” The White House, October 13, 2014.

Center for American Progress, “The Arab Spring and Climate Change: A Climate and Security Correlations Series,” (February 2013).

National Public Radio, “How Could A Drought Spark A Civil War?,” September 8, 2013.

The UNESCO Courier, “Climate changes raises conflict concerns,” February 2018.

[8*] Kumari Rigaud et al. “Groundswell: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration,” (The World Bank, March 2018).

[9*] Anmar Frangoul, “Climate change could make North Africa and Middle East ‘uninhabitable’,” CNBC, May 4, 2016.